Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.475559 0.519205 0.566734 0.622635 0.686972 0.759166 0.846977
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.396160 0.459211 0.534378 0.632170 0.758483 0.919767 1.147651
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.336731 0.407424 0.497500 0.624244 0.804324 1.062196 1.483559
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.304932 0.382354 0.486746 0.644235 0.888925 1.281970 2.035101
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.270662 0.347789 0.455972 0.627613 0.912940 1.415504 2.522455
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.239970 0.313718 0.420118 0.595276 0.901749 1.482533 2.923638
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.215843 0.286106 0.389818 0.565832 0.887472 1.537595 3.342277
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.205073 0.276703 0.385607 0.578041 0.951123 1.777735 4.506300
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.200237 0.275487 0.393707 0.612399 1.067006 2.196523 6.951538
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.190161 0.265073 0.385415 0.615247 1.117587 2.479438 9.556234
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.178423 0.250994 0.369415 0.600784 1.125380 2.645465 12.097796
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.168493 0.239049 0.355883 0.589132 1.137099 2.834697 15.736881
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.159748 0.228821 0.345115 0.583111 1.165998 3.125542 22.844724
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.152870 0.221320 0.338736 0.585917 1.221517 3.584366 39.755892
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.144969 0.211553 0.327373 0.576477 1.241724 3.926728 67.358245
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.141117 0.208373 0.327829 0.593256 1.345213 4.823580 243.058864
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.133834 0.198741 0.315194 0.578111 1.345392 5.162072 689.838689
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.125613 0.187004 0.297645 0.549238 1.293446 5.123484 1368.911604
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.118310 0.176528 0.281872 0.522967 1.244863 5.078169 3476.089629
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.115605 0.174037 0.281478 0.533818 1.328031 6.150768 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.115019 0.175274 0.288535 0.564347 1.497426 8.514093 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.111739 0.171399 0.284895 0.566870 1.560940 10.112929 NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.107297 0.165153 0.275913 0.554028 1.556541 10.871626 NaN